Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.