La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 30, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Mallorca

Lopez (50')
Rioja (84'), Barrenechea (85'), Corberan (90+4'), Foulquier (90+4'), Gaya (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Raillo (12'), Arrasate (43'), Darder (45+1'), Samu (76'), Rodriguez (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Mallorca
42% ( 2.69)	27.29% ( 0.61)	30.7% ( -3.3)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-2.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54% (

-3.18)

56.46% (

3.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54% (

-2.63)

77.46% (

2.63)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.02)

26.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-0.02)

61.72% (

0.02)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-3.87)

33.53% (

3.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

-4.46)

70.17% (

4.47)

Score Analysis

Valencia 42%

Mallorca 30.7%

Draw 27.29%

Valencia	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 1.37) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.9) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.56) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.7%