Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.