Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 38.31%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.