La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 2, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 1
Alaves

Asano (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kike (68')
Alena (64'), Mourino (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Mallorca
Monday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Espanyol
Saturday, February 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Alaves
45.45% ( -0.15)	27.82% ( -0.15)	26.73% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.99% (

0.65)

60.01% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

0.49)

80.24% (

-0.49)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

0.23)

26.38% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

0.3)

61.53% (

-0.3)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

0.62)

38.59% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

0.58)

75.33% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 45.44%

Alaves 26.73%

Draw 27.8%

Mallorca	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.73%