Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.