La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 9, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Williams (58')
Gorosabel (16'), Valverde (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Raillo (56')
Copete (72'), Sanchez (86'), Raillo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
70.84% ( 0.45)	19.02% ( -0.28)	10.15% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 40.25% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.78% (

0.69)

50.21% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.62)

72.17% (

-0.61)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06% (

0.34)

12.94% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.59% (

0.69)

39.4% (

-0.69)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.24% (

0.11)

53.76% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.87% (

0.06)

87.13% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 70.83%

Mallorca 10.15%

Draw 19.02%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 14.22% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 70.83%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.02%	0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 10.15%