Europa League
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Angelino 56' goal
  • Eldor Shomurodov 72' yellowcard
  • Eldor Shomurodov 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 19'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 34'
  • yellowcard Maroan Sannadi Harrouch 39'
  • goal Inaki Williams 50'
  • redcard Yeray Alvarez 85'

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 43.21% (-0.25)
Draw 27.18% (-0.11)
Athletic Bilbao 29.62% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.69% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.59% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 56.41% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 22.58% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 77.42% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 9.86% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 90.14% (-0.25)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 74.13% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 25.88% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.14% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.86% (-0.15)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 65.69% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 34.32% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 28.98% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 71.02% (-0.57)

Score analysis

Roma 43.21%
Draw 27.17%
Athletic Bilbao 29.62%
Roma
1-0 @ 12% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.17%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.87% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.08% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.62%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 32' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 44' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 63' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 44'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 56'
  • goal Aitor Paredes 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 90'+5'