Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 0
Monza

Saelemaekers (10'), Shomurodov (32'), Angelino (73'), Cristante (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bianco (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Monza
70.8% ( 3.03)	18.63% ( -0.9)	10.56% ( -2.13)

Both teams to score 42.8% (

-3.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

-1.5)

47.55% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-1.4)

69.76% (

1.41)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.42)

12.17% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.2% (

0.87)

37.8% (

-0.86)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.74% (

-4.72)

51.26% (

4.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.48% (

-3.38)

85.51% (

3.38)

Score Analysis

Roma 70.79%

Monza 10.56%

Draw 18.63%

Roma	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 13.83% ( 1.25) 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 1) 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.61) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.37) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.79%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.59) Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.63%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.56%