Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
5 - 1
Monza

Marusic (31'), Pedro (57', 77'), Castellanos (63'), Dele-Bashiru (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sensi (86' pen.)
Dietz (40'), Pereira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Monza
58.79% ( 1.66)	23.8% ( 0.03)	17.4% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 45% (

-2.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-2.39)

54.39% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23% (

-2.03)

75.77% (

2.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.27)

18.28% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.47)

49.34% (

0.46)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.07% (

-3.41)

44.93% (

3.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.12% (

-2.86)

80.87% (

2.86)

Score Analysis

Lazio 58.78%

Monza 17.4%

Draw 23.8%

Lazio	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 1.14) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.78%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.53% Total : 17.4%