/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
-
Adam Marusic
31'
-
Pedro
57'
-
Valentin Castellanos
63'
-
Pedro
77'
-
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
88'
-
Maximilian Dietz
40'
-
Pedro Pereira
45'
-
Stefano Sensi
86'
Lazio vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fmattia-zaccagni.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
58.79%
▲
(+1.67)
Draw
23.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Monza
17.4%
▼
(-1.70)
Both Teams to Score:
45%
▼
(-2.95)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.6%
▼
(-2.39)
Under 2.5
54.39%
▲
(+2.39)
Over 3.5
24.23%
▼
(-2.03)
Under 3.5
75.77%
▲
(+2.03)
Over 4.5
10.87%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 4.5
89.13%
▲
(+1.29)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
81.72%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
18.28%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
50.65%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
49.34%
▲
(+0.47)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
55.07%
▼
(-3.41)
Under 0.5
44.93%
▲
(+3.41)
Over 1.5
19.12%
▼
(-2.87)
Under 1.5
80.87%
▲
(+2.86)
Score analysis
Lazio
58.78%
Draw
23.8%
Monza
17.4%
Lazio
1-0
@
13.95%
▲
(+1.14)
2-0 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.87)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 58.78%
2-0 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.87)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 58.78%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.74)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.8%
0-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.74)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.8%
Monza
0-1
@
6.57%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 17.4%
Head to Head
-
Milan Djuric
73'
-
Giulio Donati
80'+6'
-
Giulio Donati
90'+6'
-
Ciro Immobile
11'
-
Mattia Zaccagni
15'
-
Nicolo Casale
35'
-
Daichi Kamada
45'
-
Alessio Romagnoli
56'
-
Patric
68'
-
Matias Vecino
83'
-
Matias Vecino
90'+5'
-
Matias Vecino
90'+5'
-
Danilo Cataldi
90'+6'