Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
Monza

De Winter (61'), Vasquez (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caprari (20'), Kiriakopoulos (30'), Akpa-Akpro (43'), Bianco (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Monza
42.59% ( 0.58)	28.41% ( 0.37)	29% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02% (

-1.59)

60.97% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02% (

-1.2)

80.97% (

1.2)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.45)

28.34% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

-0.56)

64.07% (

0.56)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

-1.6)

37.25% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

-1.62)

74.03% (

1.61)

Score Analysis

Genoa 42.59%

Monza 29%

Draw 28.39%

Genoa	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.59%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.76% Total : 29%