/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
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Koni De Winter
61'
-
Johan Vasquez
84'
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Gianluca Caprari
20'
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Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
30'
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Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro
43'
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Alessandro Bianco
62'
Genoa vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fandrea-pinamonti.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result
Genoa
42.59%
▲
(+0.58)
Draw
28.41%
▲
(+0.37)
Monza
29%
▼
(-0.95)
Both Teams to Score:
44.96%
▼
(-1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.02%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 2.5
60.97%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 3.5
19.02%
▼
(-1.21)
Under 3.5
80.97%
▲
(+1.21)
Over 4.5
7.78%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 4.5
92.21%
▲
(+0.69)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
71.66%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 0.5
28.34%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
35.93%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
64.07%
▲
(+0.56)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
62.75%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 0.5
37.25%
▲
(+1.60)
Over 1.5
25.96%
▼
(-1.62)
Under 1.5
74.03%
▲
(+1.61)
Score analysis
Genoa
42.59%
Draw
28.39%
Monza
29%
Genoa
1-0
@
13.31%
▲
(+0.63)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.59%
2-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.59%
Draw
1-1
@
13.14%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.39%
0-0 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.39%
Monza
0-1
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29%
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29%