Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lecce |
| 42.18% ( | 27.67% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.97% ( | 58.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( | 78.71% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( | 27.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( | 62.56% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( | 34.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( | 71.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.14% |