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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Bologna

FT

Freuler (61'), Freuler (61'), Freuler (61'), T (90+4'), Pobega (90+3'), Pobega (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 1-3 Lecce
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna
Tuesday, February 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
23.44% (-0.198 -0.2)26.71% (-0.138 -0.14)49.85% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.67% (0.32299999999999 0.32)58.33% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05% (0.251 0.25)78.95% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.63% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)77.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.29199999999999 0.29)23.52% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (0.423 0.42)57.56% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.44%
    Bologna 49.83%
    Draw 26.7%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.88% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.44%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.83%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
22.4%
Draw
20.4%
Bologna
57.1%
49
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
1-0
Lecce
Orsolini (85')
Urbanski (66'), Ndoye (72')

Pelmard (71'), Gaspar (86')
Feb 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Bologna
4-0
Lecce
Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')