Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
| 23.44% ( | 26.71% ( | 49.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.67% ( | 58.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( | 78.95% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( | 77.22% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( | 57.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.06% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0-2 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.83% |