Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
60.62% ( 0.02)	22.29% ( -0.17)	17.09% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

0.93)

49.05% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

0.83)

71.13% (

-0.83)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26% (

0.33)

15.74% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.16% (

0.6)

44.84% (

-0.59)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

0.74)

42.16% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

0.63)

78.57% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 60.61%

Bologna 17.09%

Draw 22.29%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.61%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.09%