Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Gianluca Mancini 54' yellowcard
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 61' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 69' yellowcard
  • Artem Dovbyk 76' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 12'
  • yellowcard Marc-Oliver Kempf 27'
  • goal Lucas Da Cunha 44'
  • yellowcard Maxence Caqueret 51'
  • redcard Marc-Oliver Kempf 63'
  • yellowcard Alieu Fadera 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Da Cunha 86'
  • yellowcard Mergim Vojvoda 88'

Roma vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2025 7.45pm
Roma 4 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Como

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 11.30am
Como 2 - 1 Napoli
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result

Roma 64.48% (-0.24)
Draw 20.79% (+0.14)
Como 14.73% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 53% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 47% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 30.75% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 69.24% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 15.2% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 84.8% (+0.26)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 86.16% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 13.84% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 58.79% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 41.21% (+0.39)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 55.96% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 44.04% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 19.85% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 80.15% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Roma 64.47%
Draw 20.79%
Como 14.73%
Roma
1-0 @ 12.05% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 11.91% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.86% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.1% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.79%
Como
0-1 @ 5% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.05% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Edoardo Goldaniga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 61' yellowcard
  • Ignace Van Der Brempt 68' yellowcard
  • Lucas Da Cunha 78' yellowcard
  • Ben Lhassine Kone 90' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Gabrielloni 90'+3' goal
  • Alessandro Gabrielloni 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Nico Paz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 55'