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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Como

Saelemaekers (61'), Dovbyk (76')
Mancini (54'), Cristante (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (44')
Smolcic (12'), Kempf (27'), Caqueret (51'), Fadera (80'), Da Cunha (86'), Vojvoda (88')
Kempf (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Monza
Monday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawComo
64.48% (-0.239 -0.24)20.79% (0.138 0.14)14.73% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.39 -0.39)47% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.363 -0.36)69.24% (0.36 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)13.84% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.385 -0.38)41.21% (0.383 0.38)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)44.04% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)80.15% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.47%
    Como 14.73%
    Draw 20.79%
RomaDrawComo
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 5% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Roma vs Como

Roma
77.7%
Draw
16.0%
Como
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 16
Como
2-0
Roma
Gabrielloni (90+3'), Paz (90+7')
Goldaniga (45+1'), Belotti (61'), Van Der Brempt (68'), Da Cunha (78'), Lhassine Kone (90'), Gabrielloni (90+6')

Le Fee (55')
rhs 2.0


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