Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 23, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 1
Napoli

Diao (77')
Paz (24'), Fabregas i Soler (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Raspadori (17')
Di Lorenzo (68'), McTominay (83'), Simeone (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Como
Sunday, February 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Como	Draw	Napoli
22.5% ( 0.02)	25.07% ( -0.01)	52.43% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82% (

0.05)

53.18% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25% (

0.04)

74.74% (

-0.04)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

0.05)

38.62% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

0.04)

75.36% (

-0.05)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.01)

20.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

0.02)

52.63% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Como 22.5%

Napoli 52.43%

Draw 25.06%

Como	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.5%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.43%