Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 1-0 Udinese
Aside from a couple of setbacks, Napoli have been ruthlessly efficient on home turf, conceding only seven league goals at the Maradona this season.
They increase their Serie A lead by posting another clean sheet against Udinese, who are bound for mid-table mediocrity - which would be a relief after last year's close shave.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.27% . A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 11.77% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.34%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%) , while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.7%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood .
Result Napoli Draw Udinese 68.27% ( 0.44) 19.96% ( -0.16) 11.77% ( -0.27)
Both teams to score 42.73% ( -0.34)
50.06% ( 0.01) 49.94% ( -0.01)
28.07% ( 0.01) 71.93% ( -0.01)
86.38% ( 0.14) 13.62% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.23% ( 0.27) 40.76% ( -0.27)
49.47% ( -0.47) 50.53% ( 0.48)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.98% ( -0.32) 85.02% ( 0.33)
Napoli 68.26%
Udinese 11.77%
Draw 19.96%
Napoli Draw Udinese 1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 68.26% 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.96% 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 11.77%
How you voted: Napoli vs Udinese
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