Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 15, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Napoli

Isaksen (6'), Dia (87')
Zaccagni (79'), Rovella (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Raspadori (13'), Marusic (64' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (35'), Jesus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Next Game: Udinese vs. Lazio
Saturday, December 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Bologna
Monday, December 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Next Game: Cremonese vs. Napoli
Sunday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Napoli
36.2% ( 0.18)	26.63% ( 0.07)	37.16% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-0.27)

52.87% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

-0.23)

74.48% (

0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

-0.02)

28.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

-0.03)

63.77% (

0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.28)

27.53% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

-0.35)

63.04% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Lazio 36.2%

Napoli 37.16%

Draw 26.63%

Lazio	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.2%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.16%