La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 15, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
1 - 1
Valencia

Stuani (64')
Herrera (18'), van de Beek (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopez (58')
Gaya (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Girona
Monday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Valencia
46.74% ( 0.04)	25.48% ( -0.03)	27.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

0.1)

50.69% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

0.09)

72.59% (

-0.1)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

0.06)

21.68% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16% (

0.09)

54.83% (

-0.1)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.29% (

0.04)

32.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.74% (

0.05)

69.26% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Girona 46.74%

Valencia 27.78%

Draw 25.47%

Girona	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.74%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.78%