La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 8, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid

Lopez (7'), Sadiq (58')
Gaya (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Latasa (40')
Grillitsch (8'), Latasa (66'), Sanchez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 3-3 Valencia
Sunday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Valladolid
50.7% ( 0.19)	24.92% ( -0.09)	24.38% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.11% (

0.28)

50.88% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24% (

0.25)

72.76% (

-0.25)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.19)

20.07% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69% (

0.3)

52.3% (

-0.3)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

0.07)

35.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

0.07)

72.37% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Valencia 50.69%

Real Valladolid 24.38%

Draw 24.91%

Valencia	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.69%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.38%