Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.