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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 28, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Las Palmas

Valladolid
1 - 1
Las Palmas

Latasa (63')
Nikitscher (50'), Martin Rielves (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramirez (22')
Moleiro (45+6')
McKenna (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 7-1 Valladolid
Sunday, February 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawLas Palmas
34.72% (-0.833 -0.83)26.54% (0.173 0.17)38.74% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 52.29% (-0.66 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.797 -0.8)52.57% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.689 -0.69)74.23% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.896 -0.9)28.85% (0.893 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-1.127 -1.13)64.72% (1.125 1.12)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 34.72%
    Las Palmas 38.73%
    Draw 26.54%
Real ValladolidDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.73%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Las Palmas

Real Valladolid
26.4%
Draw
24.1%
Las Palmas
49.4%
87
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 16
Las Palmas
2-1
Valladolid
Ramirez (20', 64')
Silva (26'), Martinez (27'), Suarez (76'), McKenna (80'), Park (90+8')
Maranhao (45')
Comert (49'), Meseguer (78'), Ndiaye (90+9')
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 32
Valladolid
0-1
Las Palmas

Mesa (69'), Perez (77'), Weissman (85')
Sadiku (61')
Moleiro (38'), Coco (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Las Palmas
1-1
Valladolid
Rodriguez (64')
Benito (8'), Pinchi (88')
Benito (90+4')
Maranhao (53')
Sanchez (75'), Maranhao (77'), Aguado (79'), Plano (84')
rhs 2.0


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