Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 4pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Le Havre

Doue (8'), Ramos (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Soumare (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 PSG
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-5 Rennes
Sunday, April 13 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 87.89%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 3.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Le Havre
87.89% ( 0.02)	8.26% ( -0.02)	3.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.85% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.46% (

0.05)

22.53% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.37% (

0.08)

41.62% (

-0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.74% (

0.01)

3.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.61% (

0.04)

14.38% (

-0.04)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.43% (

0.01)

51.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.28% (

0.01)

85.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 87.88%

Le Havre 3.84%

Draw 8.26%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Le Havre
3-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 4.79% Total : 87.88%	1-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 8.26%	1-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 3.84%