Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre

Khazri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kechta (3'), Toure (33')
Gorgelin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Le Havre
37.53% ( -0.36)	23.8% ( 0.2)	38.67% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 62.25% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.13% (

-1.02)

39.87% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.78% (

-1.06)

62.23% (

1.07)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-0.63)

21.38% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-0.98)

54.37% (

0.98)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.37)

20.83% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.58)

53.5% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 37.53%

Le Havre 38.67%

Draw 23.79%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Le Havre
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.53%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.67%