Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Auxerre.