Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 0
Montpellier

Aye (82')
Owusu (18'), Akpa (35'), Massengo (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Meite (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Auxerre.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
51.78% ( -0.01)	24.34% ( 0.46)	23.87% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.02% (

-2.38)

48.98% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

-2.19)

71.07% (

2.19)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

-0.91)

18.9% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

-1.53)

50.38% (

1.54)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98% (

-1.69)

35.01% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.24% (

-1.82)

71.76% (

1.82)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 51.78%

Montpellier HSC 23.87%

Draw 24.33%

Auxerre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.87%