Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
3 - 2
Nantes

Toure (13' pen., 27' pen.), Pembele (88')
Pembele (18')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sow (23'), Simon (48')
Thomas (64'), Pallois (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 4-2 Le Havre
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lille
Saturday, March 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Nantes
30.21% ( -0.07)	26.07% ( -0.03)	43.72% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14% (

0.08)

51.86% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

0.07)

73.61% (

-0.07)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0.01)

31.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.01)

67.89% (

0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

0.09)

23.59% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

0.12)

57.66% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 30.21%

Nantes 43.71%

Draw 26.06%

Le Havre	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.21%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.71%