Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 29.45% ( | 25.89% ( | 44.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% | 51.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( | 73.28% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( | 31.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( | 68.3% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.45% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.66% |