/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Jonathan David
5'
-
Thomas Meunier
52'
-
Ngal'ayel Mukau
83'
-
Waldemar Anton
32'
-
Pascal Gross
51'
-
Emre Can
54'
-
Maximilian Beier
65'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
89'
Lille vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F08%2Fjonathan-david.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Lille
44.52%
▲
(+0.73)
Draw
23.25%
▼
(-0.10)
Borussia Dortmund
32.23%
▼
(-0.64)
Both Teams to Score:
62.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.65%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
38.35%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
39.36%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
60.63%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
21.63%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
78.36%
▼
(-0.18)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
82.36%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
17.63%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
51.76%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 1.5
48.23%
▼
(-0.65)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
76.48%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
23.52%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
42.44%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
57.55%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Lille
44.52%
Draw
23.24%
Borussia Dortmund
32.23%
Lille
2-1
@
9.04%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.52%
1-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.24%
2-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.24%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
7.54%
▼
(-0.10)
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.23%
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.23%