Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 2
Dortmund

Ceesay (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guirassy (50'), Adeyemi (58')
Schlotterbeck (13'), Adeyemi (82'), Adeyemi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
28.6% ( 0.25)	24.9% ( 0.05)	46.5% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

-0.06)

47.79% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02% (

-0.05)

69.98% (

0.05)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

0.15)

30.58% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

0.18)

66.81% (

-0.18)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-0.15)

20.6% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-0.24)

53.14% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 28.6%

Borussia Dortmund 46.5%

Draw 24.9%

St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.6%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.5%