Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 13'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 50'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 58'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 82'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 83'

St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result

St Pauli 28.6% (+0.26)
Draw 24.9% (+0.05)
Borussia Dortmund 46.5% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.21% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.79% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 30.02% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.98% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.69% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.31% (+0.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 69.42% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.58% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 33.19% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 66.81% (-0.19)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 79.4% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 20.6% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 46.85% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 53.14% (+0.24)

Score analysis

St Pauli 28.6%
Draw 24.9%
Borussia Dortmund 46.5%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.42% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.9%
Borussia Dortmund
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.5%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Ramy Bensebaini 43' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 75' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 77' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 30'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 40'
  • goal Eric Smith 78'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Etienne Amenyido 4' goal
  • Axel Witsel 40' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 58'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 28, 2014 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Soren Gonther 84' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Maier 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 33'
  • goal Marco Reus 44'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kehl 84'
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 86'