Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Dortmund
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin
  • Diogo Leite 25' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 40' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 50' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 58' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 75' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 80' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • Maximilian Beier 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 55'

Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 2 - 0 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 60.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 20.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Union Berlin 18.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 87.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 12.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 60.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 64.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.56%
Draw 20.81%
Union Berlin 18.62%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.81%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.62%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Union Berlin
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund
  • Kevin Vogt 15' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 26' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 41' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 45' goal
  • Tom Rothe 84' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 17'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 62'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 83'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund
  • Janik Haberer 75' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 45'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Dortmund
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin
  • Niclas Fullkrug 7' goal
  • Mats Hummels 30' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 49' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' goal
  • goal Robin Gosens 9'
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 31'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Dortmund
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Donyell Malen 28' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 79' goal
  • goal Kevin Behrens 61'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Janik Haberer 8' goal
  • Janik Haberer 21' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Union Berlin
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Dortmund
  • Timo Baumgartl 35' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mohwald 76' yellowcard
  • Robin Knoche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Andras Schafer 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Reus 18'
  • goal Marco Reus 25'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 39'
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 71'

Form Data

Dortmund 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
VfL Bochum 2 - 0 Dortmund
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 1 - 2 Stuttgart
Heidenheim 1 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 1 Shakhtar
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim 0 - 4 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
St Pauli 3 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg