Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
6 - 0
Union Berlin

Leite (25' og.), Guirassy (40', 75', 80', 83'), Beier (89')
Bensebaini (50'), Reyna (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Khedira (17'), Tousart (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
60.56% ( 0.03)	20.81% ( -0.01)	18.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.91% (

0.03)

40.09% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.54% (

0.03)

62.45% (

-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.17% (

0.02)

12.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.83% (

0.04)

39.17% (

-0.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

35.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

71.82% (

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.56%

Union Berlin 18.62%

Draw 20.81%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.56%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.81%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 18.62%