MX23RW : Monday, March 24 12:21:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
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Hoffenheim
0 - 4
Union Berlin


Bulter (2'), Geiger (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hollerbach (24', 87'), Ljubicic (61'), Ilic (73')
Trimmel (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Union Berlin

 It is difficult to see either team dominating given both have struggled in the past weeks, but Hoffenheim could have the edge considering Union have lost so frequently on the road. Additionally, the hosts are in a good vein of goalscoring form despite suffering so many injuries, and they should be confident of holding onto a lead in light of the visitors' poor showings in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
44.65% (0.064 0.06) 25.06% (-0.067 -0.07) 30.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.299 0.3)47.57% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.276 0.28)69.77% (-0.271 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.154 0.15)21.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.236 0.24)54.28% (-0.232 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.155 0.16)29.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.189 0.19)65.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.65%
    Union Berlin 30.3%
    Draw 25.06%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
74.4%
Draw
15.4%
Union Berlin
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')
Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Union Berlin

Nsoki (45'), Kaderabek (86')
Nsoki (45+4')
Aaronson (84')
Volland (45'), Doekhi (45+9'), Leite (89')
Volland (45+6')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
0-2
Hoffenheim

Tousart (72')
Kramaric (22' pen.), Beier (38')
Kramaric (45+4'), Stach (54'), Ole Becker (89')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
4-2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Stiller (90+8'), Dabour (90+8')
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Bebou (43')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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