Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 4
Union Berlin

Bulter (2'), Geiger (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hollerbach (24', 87'), Ljubicic (61'), Ilic (73')
Trimmel (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
44.65% ( 0.06)	25.06% ( -0.07)	30.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.65% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

0.3)

47.57% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

0.28)

69.77% (

-0.27)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

0.15)

21.33% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

0.24)

54.28% (

-0.23)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.16)

29.27% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

0.19)

65.23% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 44.65%

Union Berlin 30.3%

Draw 25.06%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.3%