Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Boniface (15'), Frimpong (19'), Schick (51')
Grimaldo (45+2'), Tah (79'), Garcia (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orban (62')
Geiger (34'), Bischof (79'), Yardimci (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
79.92% ( 0.03)	12.59% ( -0.02)	7.48% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.42% (

0.03)

28.57% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.54% (

0.04)

49.45% (

-0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.46% (

0.01)

5.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.45% (

0.04)

21.55% (

-0.04)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.23% (

-0.01)

44.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.25% (

-0.01)

80.74% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 79.91%

Hoffenheim 7.48%

Draw 12.59%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% 4-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 79.91%	1-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.59%	1-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 7.48%