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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Yobel Kelati (84')
Knudsen (53'), Weiner (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hlozek (26', 56'), Kramaric (45+1')
Chaves (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hoffenheim

While Hoffenheim are yet to record a win on the road this season, their stellar record against newly-promoted teams in their travels – as well as the leaky defence of the hosts at home – stands them in good stead to claim their first victory away from home this term. Therefore, we reckon the visitors will register a 2-1 victory – their first away win of the season at the Holstein-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
45.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 22.7% (0.215 0.22) 31.63% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.76% (-0.916 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-1.16 -1.16)35.91% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-1.288 -1.29)58% (1.287 1.29)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)16.23% (0.46 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.848 -0.85)45.75% (0.845 0.84)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.664 -0.66)22.68% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.988 -0.99)56.33% (0.98500000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 45.67%
    Hoffenheim 31.64%
    Draw 22.7%
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel
47.5%
Draw
20.0%
Hoffenheim
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
3-2
Holstein Kiel
Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')
Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')
Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


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