Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Yobel Kelati (84')
Knudsen (53'), Weiner (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hlozek (26', 56'), Kramaric (45+1')
Chaves (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Hoffenheim
45.67% ( -0.04)	22.7% ( 0.22)	31.63% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 64.76% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.09% (

-1.16)

35.91% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42% (

-1.29)

58% (

1.29)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-0.46)

16.23% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.85)

45.75% (

0.84)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.66)

22.68% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

-0.99)

56.33% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 45.67%

Hoffenheim 31.64%

Draw 22.7%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.64%