Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
Hoffenheim
  • Magnus Knudsen 53' yellowcard
  • Andu Yobel Kelati 84' goal
  • Timon Weiner 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Chaves 23'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 26'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 45'+1'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 56'

Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel 4 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
Bayern 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result

Holstein Kiel 45.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 22.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Hoffenheim 31.63% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.76% ▼ (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.09% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 2.5 35.91% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 3.5 42% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 3.5 58% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 4.5 23.77% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 4.5 76.23% ▲ (+1.07)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 83.76% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 1.5 54.25% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 45.75% ▲ (+0.85)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 0.5 22.68% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 1.5 43.67% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 56.33% ▲ (+0.99)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 45.67%
Draw 22.7%
Hoffenheim 31.64%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 45.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Campo La Quinta
Holstein Kiel
  • Andrej Kramaric 6' goal
  • Adam Hlozek 14' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 37' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 87' goal
  • Max Moerstedt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timon Weiner 5'
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 63'
  • yellowcard Andu Yobel Kelati 81'
  • redcard Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
  • goal Shuto Machino 89'
DFB-Pokal
Hoffenheim
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Johannes van den Bergh 3' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 31' goal
  • Kevin Akpoguma 46' yellowcard
  • Angelo Stiller 59' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 72' goal
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 84' goal
  • goal Phil Neumann 47'
  • yellowcard Simon Lorenz 68'

Form Data

Holstein Kiel 4 - 2 Dortmund
Freiburg 3 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 5 - 1 Augsburg
Borussia M'bach 4 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
St Pauli 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Bayern 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 0 - 1 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 1 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 0 - 0 FCSB
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Freiburg