Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.