Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.