Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.