/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
-
Karim Adeyemi
22'
-
Emre Can
61'
-
Pascal Gross
90'+3'
-
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
68'
Borussia Dortmund vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F10%2Fkarim-adeyemi.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F08%2Fniko-kovac.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
56.41%
▲
(+0.67)
Draw
21.33%
▼
(-0.28)
Lille
22.25%
▼
(-0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
60.83%
▲
(+0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.72%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 2.5
37.28%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 3.5
40.51%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 3.5
59.48%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 4.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 4.5
77.44%
▼
(-0.70)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
86.85%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
13.14%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 1.5
60.18%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 1.5
39.82%
▼
(-0.94)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
70.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
29.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
33.93%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
66.07%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
56.41%
Draw
21.33%
Lille
22.25%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.77%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 56.41%
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 56.41%
Draw
1-1
@
9.63%
▼
(-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.33%
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.33%
Lille
1-2
@
5.81%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.25%