Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Strasbourg in this match.