Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 1PSG
We said: Nantes 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG again showed at the weekend why 10 of their last 11 league games have seen both teams score, allowing Le Havre opportunities to score, with one eventually being taken, but the visitors should have far too much for a Nantes team battling near the bottom, regardless of how much Enrique decides to rotate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.94%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.02%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.02% ( -0.02) | 15.04% ( -0.01) | 75.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
