Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 1
PSG

Douglas (83')
Castelletto (77'), Chirivella (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vitinha (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nantes
Friday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 19 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.94%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.02%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
9.02% ( -0.02)	15.04% ( -0.01)	75.94% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.35% (

-0.03)

35.65% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.29% (

-0.04)

57.71% (

0.04)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.51% (

-0.07)

46.49% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.9% (

-0.05)

82.1% (

0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.18% (

7.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.25% (

-0)

27.74% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nantes 9.02%

Paris Saint-Germain 75.92%

Draw 15.04%

Nantes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 2.78% 2-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.02%	1-1 @ 7.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 15.04%	0-2 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-5 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.38% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 75.92%