Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 2
Nantes

Abdi (14')
Bombito (28')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Douglas (11'), Abline (38')
Sow (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Nice
Saturday, March 29 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Nantes
59.74% ( 0.33)	21.74% ( 0.05)	18.52% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.56% (

-0.81)

44.44% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.19% (

-0.79)

66.81% (

0.79)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0.16)

14.48% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54% (

-0.32)

42.46% (

0.32)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25% (

-0.88)

37.75% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48% (

-0.87)

74.52% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Nice 59.74%

Nantes 18.52%

Draw 21.74%

Nice	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 59.74%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.74%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.52%