Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 1
Nice

Biereth (55'), Embolo (73')
Embolo (27'), Mawissa (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boga (41')
Clauss (45'), Santamaria (72'), Laborde (87'), Boudaoui (87')
Dante (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 0-2 Monaco
Saturday, March 15 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Nice
43.47% ( -0.09)	23.22% ( 0.04)	33.31% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.57% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.21% (

-0.17)

37.79% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

-0.18)

60.04% (

0.18)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.1)

17.83% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.42% (

-0.18)

48.58% (

0.18)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.05)

22.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.07)

56.27% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Monaco 43.47%

Nice 33.31%

Draw 23.22%

Monaco	Draw	Nice
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.47%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.31%