Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 1
Monaco

Magri (90+1')
Cresswell (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Minamino (17')
Mawissa (1'), Embolo (74'), Akliouche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 0-4 Toulouse
Sunday, March 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Reims
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
33.92% ( -0.01)	24.77% ( 0)	41.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.02)

45.03% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62% (

-0.02)

67.38% (

0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

-0.02)

25.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37% (

-0.02)

60.63% (

0.02)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

-0)

21.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

-0)

55.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 33.92%

Monaco 41.31%

Draw 24.77%

Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.31%