Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.