Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.