Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.