Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.