Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 65.21% ( | 18.03% ( | 16.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.11% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( | 8.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.11% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( | 30.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% ( | 67.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 4-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 4-2 @ 2.76% ( 5-1 @ 2.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-3 @ 1.08% 6-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 65.21% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.03% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 16.76% |