Champions League
May 7, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nuno Mendes 18' yellowcard
  • Fabian Ruiz 27' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 72' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 26'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 56'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 76'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 86'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 86'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 8.00pm
Arsenal 0 - 1 PSG

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 8.00pm
Arsenal 0 - 1 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 52.38% (+1.21)
Draw 22.89% (-0.13)
Arsenal 24.72% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.16% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 41.84% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 35.75% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 64.24% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 18.83% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 81.17% (+0.33)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 83.97% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 16.02% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 54.63% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 45.36% (-0.50)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 69.58% (-1.08)
Under 0.5 30.41% (+1.08)
Over 1.5 33.38% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 66.61% (+1.30)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 52.38%
Draw 22.89%
Arsenal 24.72%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 5.94% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.99% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.72% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.28% (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 52.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.89%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.72%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 10' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 43' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 4'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 44'
  • yellowcard Joao Neves 46'
Champions League
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 20' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 35' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2018 12.35pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT National Stadium
  • Mesut Ozil 13' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 67' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 71' goal
  • Rob Holding 87' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 94' goal
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 51'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 60'
Champions League
Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Francois Coquelin 34' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 45' goal
  • Laurent Koscielny 53' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 59' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 18'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 31'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 55'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 77' (OG)
Champions League
Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edinson Cavani 1' goal
  • Marco Verratti 8' yellowcard
  • Thiago Motta 92' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 94' redcard
  • yellowcard Francois Coquelin 24'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 77'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • redcard Olivier Giroud 94'

Build-up

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