PSG

2 - 1

Arsenal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.