Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.