Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 1
PSG

Hernandez (20' og.), Lemarechal (45+3')
Doue (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barcola (46')
Tape-Kobrissa (83'), Ruiz (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 St Etienne
Saturday, April 26 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 PSG
Tuesday, April 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
16.12% ( -0.84)	17.13% ( -1.13)	66.75% ( 1.97)

Both teams to score 65.37% (

2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.4% (

4.05)

26.6% (

-4.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.02% (

4.99)

46.97% (

-4.99)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

1.74)

29.33% (

-1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

2.09)

65.31% (

-2.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.51% (

1.49)

7.49% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.1% (

3.72)

26.9% (

-3.72)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 16.12%

Paris Saint-Germain 66.75%

Draw 17.13%

Strasbourg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.47% Total : 16.12%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.88) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.59) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.44% Total : 17.13%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 7.82% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.73) 0-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -1.03) 1-4 @ 5.07% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.35) 0-4 @ 4.13% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.43) 1-5 @ 2.63% ( 0.42) 0-5 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 2-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.32) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.23) 1-6 @ 1.13% ( 0.25) 0-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.64% Total : 66.75%