Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Strasbourg 1-0 Saint-Etienne
Going 10 games unbeaten should have Strasbourg down as big favourites to beat a side currently in the bottom two, and it is tough to see anything but that, even though the majority of their wins are by narrow scorelines. Saint-Etienne have not won back-to-back games all season, losing 17 on their return to Ligue 1, and despite an excellent performance last weekend in the derby, they are unlikely to replicate it against a strong Strasbourg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
61.24% ( -0.01) | 20.4% ( 0) | 18.36% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
