Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.