Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 61.24% ( | 20.4% ( | 18.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( | 38.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.12% ( | 60.88% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( | 12.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( | 34.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( | 71.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 3-1 @ 6.96% ( 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.36% |