Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.