Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
| 12.99% ( | 16.01% ( | 71% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.78% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.99% ( | 49.01% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( | 34.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( | 71% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% | 7.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.2% ( | 25.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 3.68% ( 1-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 2-0 @ 1.39% ( 3-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 12.99% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-0 @ 2.42% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.01% | 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 1-3 @ 8.04% 0-3 @ 7.52% ( 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 1-4 @ 5.33% ( 0-4 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-4 @ 2.85% 1-5 @ 2.82% ( 0-5 @ 2.64% ( 2-5 @ 1.51% 1-6 @ 1.25% ( 0-6 @ 1.17% ( 3-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 71% |