Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Deiver Machado 12' goal
  • Deiver Machado 19' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 30' yellowcard
  • Goduine Koyalipou 75' goal
  • Hamzat Ojediran 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 32'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Bouchouari 65'

Lens vs Saint-Etienne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
Lille 1 - 0 Lens
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Neil El Aynaoui

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
St Etienne 1 - 6 PSG
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lucas Stassin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result

Lens 69.81% (+0.14)
Draw 18.27% (-0.02)
Saint-Etienne 11.92% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.54% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.64% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 42.36% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 35.24% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 64.76% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 18.44% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 81.56% (+0.19)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 89.03% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 10.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 64.79% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 35.21% (+0.08)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 54.52% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 45.48% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 18.69% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 81.31% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Lens 69.8%
Draw 18.27%
Saint-Etienne 11.92%
Lens
2-0 @ 12.18% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 11.02% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.98% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.96% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 69.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.27%
Saint-Etienne
0-1 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 11.92%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Mathis Amougou 61' yellowcard
  • goal Przemyslaw Frankowski 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 31'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 56'
  • goal Remy Labeau 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryad Boudebouz 38' goal
  • Gabriel Silva 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 30'
  • goal Florian Sotoca 77'
  • goal Seko Fofana 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2021 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Facundo Medina 18' yellowcard
  • Ignatius Ganago 36' goal
  • Seko Fofana 77' goal
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 1'
  • yellowcard Romain Hamouma 29'
  • yellowcard Saidou Sow 41'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 52'
  • yellowcard Denis Bouanga 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 85'
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 86'
  • yellowcard Adil Aouchiche 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Harold Moukoudi 19' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Debuchy 26' yellowcard
  • Harold Moukoudi 40' goal
  • Lucas Gourna-Douath 66' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 90'+4' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 20'
  • goal Arnaud Kalimuendo 24'
  • yellowcard Simon Banza 77'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 85'
  • goal David Costa 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gael Kakuta 15' goal
  • Gael Kakuta 68' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 82' goal
  • redcard Timothee Kolodziejczak 14'
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 64'
  • redcard Wahbi Khazri 64'
Ligue 1
Feb 6, 2015 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Landry N'Guemo 18' goal
  • Paul Baysse 27' yellowcard
  • Yohan Mollo 57' goal
  • Romain Hamouma 71' yellowcard
  • Mevlut Erding 83' goal
  • Fabien Lemoine 88' yellowcard
  • goal Yoann Touzghar 60'
  • goal Yoann Touzghar 69'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kantari 72'
  • goal Pablo Chavarria 77'
  • yellowcard Pierrick Valdivia 88'