Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 0
St Etienne

Machado (12'), Koyalipou (75')
Machado (19'), Medina (30'), Ojediran (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Macon (32'), Bouchouari (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 1-6 PSG
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Saint-Etienne
69.81% ( 0.08)	18.27% ( 0.01)	11.92% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.54% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.64% (

-0.27)

42.36% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

-0.27)

64.76% (

0.28)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.03% (

-0.05)

10.97% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.79% (

-0.12)

35.21% (

0.13)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.52% (

-0.32)

45.48% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.69% (

-0.26)

81.31% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Lens 69.8%

Saint-Etienne 11.92%

Draw 18.27%

Lens	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.84% Total : 69.8%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.92%