Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 0
Lens

Fernandez Pardo (19')
Bouaddi (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aguilar (22'), El Aynaoui (51'), Medina (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lille
Saturday, March 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Rennes
Saturday, March 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Lens had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Lens
45.23% ( 0.08)	24.37% ( 0.02)	30.39% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-0.16)

44.49% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-0.15)

66.86% (

0.15)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-0.03)

19.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.12% (

-0.05)

51.87% (

0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.14)

27.66% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.18)

63.2% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Lille 45.23%

Lens 30.39%

Draw 24.36%

Lille	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.39%